STR: Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Using Regression

نویسندگان

چکیده

We propose a new method for decomposing seasonal data: seasonal-trend decomposition using regression (STR). Unlike other methods, STR allows multiple and cyclic components, covariates, patterns that may have noninteger periods, seasonality with complex topology. It can be used time series any regular index, including hourly, daily, weekly, monthly, or quarterly data. is competitive existing methods when they exist tackles many more problems than allow. based on regularized optimization so somewhat related to ridge regression. Because it statistical model, we easily compute confidence intervals something not possible most (such as Loess, X-12-ARIMA, SEATS-TRAMO, etc.). Our model implemented in the R package stR, applied by anyone their own

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Seasonal Decomposition for Geographical Time Series using Nonparametric Regression

A time series often contains various systematic effects such as trends and seasonality. These different components can be determined and separated by decomposition methods. In this thesis, we discuss time series decomposition process using nonparametric regression. A method based on both loess and harmonic regression is suggested and an optimal model selection method is discussed. We then compa...

متن کامل

Trend Extraction for seasonal Time Series Using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition

In this paper, we investigate eligibility of trend extraction through the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and performance improvement of applying the ensemble EMD (EEMD) instead of the EMD for trend extraction from seasonal time series. The proposed method is an approach that can be applied on any time series with any time scales fluctuations. In order to evaluate our algorithm, experimental...

متن کامل

Trend Detection in Gold Worth Using Regression

A mapping chase autoregression shape is applied to predict gold worth here. Previous works centered on prediction of the instability of gold worth to reveal the characteristics of gold market. By the way, due to the fact that the data of gold worth have high dimensionality, MCAF is suitable and able to predict gold worth more accurately rather than other mechanisms. In this paper, the MCAF is u...

متن کامل

Air passenger forecasting by using a hybrid seasonal decomposition and least squares support vector regression approach

In this study, a hybrid approach based on seasonal decomposition (SD) and least squares support vector regression (LSSVR) model is proposed for air passenger forecasting. In the formulation of the proposed hybrid approach, the air passenger time series are first decomposed into three components: trend-cycle component, seasonal factor and irregular component. Then the LSSVR model is used to pred...

متن کامل

MERIS Phytoplankton Time Series Products from the SW Iberian Peninsula (Sagres) Using Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Based on Loess

The European Space Agency has acquired 10 years of data on the temporal and spatial distribution of phytoplankton biomass from the MEdium Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MERIS) sensor for ocean color. The phytoplankton biomass was estimated with the MERIS product Algal Pigment Index 1 (API 1). Seasonal-Trend decomposition of time series based on Loess (STL) identified the temporal variability ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: INFORMS journal on data science

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2694-4030', '2694-4022']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1287/ijds.2021.0004